Box Office
"Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office Odds
Opening weekend box office prediction market for the new Scary Movie release.
Research note
How to read this market
ScreenOdds displays market-implied probabilities as information, not advice. Check the exact Polymarket question, resolution source, liquidity, and recent volume before treating a price as a durable entertainment signal.
Real-world signals
External data to read beside the market
Checked 2026-10-21
TMDb title metadata
TMDb
Scary Movie (2026)
Top TMDb match for "Scary Movie". TMDb popularity 60.4. Use this as title metadata context, not a market resolution source.
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Parlay API
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Top Parlay match: "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office. Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?. Reported volume 6.9K. Last traded price 56%. Use this as discovery context; always check the source market rules before relying on a price.
Box office context
ScreenOdds research
Weekend grosses, theater count, and comps
Box office markets depend on official weekend estimates, final grosses, comparable releases, and distribution changes. ScreenOdds keeps this deterministic fallback when external entertainment data providers are unavailable.
Sentiment pulse
Social and comparison-market context
Checked 1970-01-01 / 30-day window
Market vs social signal
Not enough scored items for a social-implied probability.
ScreenOdds has not configured a cached sentiment scan for this market yet. Use the market price, liquidity, and source rules as the primary context.
- No cached social scan is available for this market.
- Market liquidity and official resolution rules remain the primary checks.
X:0
Reddit:0
Polymarket:0
Kalshi:0
Cited discussion
No cited social posts cached yet.
Related markets
No related comparison markets cached yet.
Signal Lab
Market price vs. your view
Compare the market-implied probability with your own estimate, then check whether volume, liquidity, sources, and catalysts support the move.
Market estimate
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Your estimate
1%
Close to your estimate
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Reliability read
The market may be useful for tracking interest, but low volume or limited sourcing can distort the price.
- Low one-month volume makes the current price easier to move.
- Limited liquidity reduces confidence in small price moves.
Market liquidity
$0 liquidity and $0 one-month volume.
Box office signal
Compare the market with release timing, weekend grosses, comps, and title metadata.
Source coverage
3 external signals attached to this market page.
Social context
neutral sentiment from a 30-day window.
Upcoming catalysts
Weekend estimates and final grosses
Each weekend / Box office reports
Theater count and competing releases
Release window / Distributor calendar
Market resolution date
2026-06-08 / Market rules
Methodology
- ScreenOdds compares market-implied probability with volume, liquidity, external source coverage, and category-specific catalysts.
- The calculator is informational and does not persist your estimate.
- Thin markets can move sharply without much new information, so source checks matter as much as price.
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