Reality TV Prediction Markets

This market will resolve to the contestant who comes in third-place on Big Brother season 28. If Big Brother season 28 concludes without a third-place finisher, or if Big Brother season 28 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The named individuals will be primarily ranked by order of elimination. If two or more individuals are eliminated exactly simultaneously, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the individuals' listed first names. This market will resolve to the individual that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother season 28.

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Episode 7 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on July 22, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the named episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

Opens source market

Episode 8 of Big Brother Season 28 is scheduled to air on July 23, 2026 (https://www.cbs.com/schedule/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Big Brother. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Terms audible in background music will not be considered toward the resolution of this market, neither will terms said within a "previously on" recap or "next time on" preview segment. If this episode of Big Brother has not been released in its entirety by July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Big Brother (Big Brother: Unlocked episodes will qualify). Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Big Brother season 28 premiered on July 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is evicted from Big Brother season 28 between July 17, 2026 and July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An eviction will qualify if the individual is removed from further competition within the structure of the competition, regardless of whether it happens during a standard eviction cycle, a surprise vote or double eviction, or based on challenge performance. Disqualification or voluntary departure will not count. If an individual is eliminated but later returns, re-enters, or is reinstated, the original elimination will qualify. However, a declaration of elimination that is immediately and explicitly reversed or nullified during the same episode or broadcast segment (e.g., through a judge’s save, secret participation, public vote, or immunity twist) will not qualify. This market will stay open until the end of the relevant episode to confirm the finality of eviction. This market will remain open until a qualifying eviction is confirmed. However, if no qualifying eviction airs on the official broadcast of Big Brother season 28 by July 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be footage from the relevant week of Big Brother Season 28 or a consensus of credible reporting.

Opens source market

Love Island USA began airing on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is eliminated from Love Island USA Season 8 between market creation and July 4, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Removal from the show which differs from traditional elimination will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant episode of Love Island USA Season 8 or a consensus of credible reporting.

Opens source market