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Box Office Prediction Markets

Track opening weekend, highest-grossing movie, and release-calendar markets with source-backed context. ScreenOdds separates market-implied probability from box office reporting so each page can be useful beyond the price.

Checked 2026-07-23. TMDb is used for release metadata; box office gross figures need dedicated source verification before publication.

Tracked markets

7

Box office and highest-grossing movie markets.

1M volume

$3M

Recent prediction-market volume.

24H volume

$156.5K

Fresh market activity.

Liquidity

$2.3M

Available market depth.

Release watchlist

Upcoming titles and market catalysts

These entries are metadata signals, not box office predictions. They tell us which releases may deserve market pages or news coverage.

Opening weekend markets

Date pending

Opening range, previews, comps, and theater count

Opening-weekend markets usually move when preview numbers, comparable releases, or distribution footprint become clearer.

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Highest-grossing movie markets

Date pending

Global total, release slate, and franchise strength

Year-end gross markets depend on release timing, international rollout, audience reception, and the rest of the theatrical slate.

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Franchise sequel watchlist

Date pending

Comparable openings and audience retention

Franchise titles need comps from prior installments, genre trends, marketing intensity, and premium-format availability.

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Source stack

Where ScreenOdds checks box office signals

Markets

Box office markets to watch

Opening weekend page

Movies

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

0.2%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1M $2.6M24H $118.1KLiq $2M

Opens source market

Box Office

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

3.8%

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1M $152.8K24H $7KLiq $52K

Opens source market

Box Office

"The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office

11%

This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (July 24 - July 26) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1M $52.1K24H $17.8KLiq $45.2K

Opens source market

Box Office

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

0%

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1M $153.1K24H $634.8Liq $101.3K

Opens source market

Box Office

"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31?

0.1%

This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1M $22.2K24H $10.6KLiq $38K

Opens source market

Box Office

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?

1.2%

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1M $3.1K24H $2.3KLiq $22.5K

Opens source market

Box Office

“PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie” Opening Weekend Box Office

27.5%

This market will resolve according to how much "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1M $1.8K24H $161.6Liq $3.5K

Opens source market

Methodology

Separate market price from box office fact

Prediction-market prices are crowd-implied probabilities. Box office estimates and final grosses must still be checked against dedicated box office sources.

Watch timing catalysts

Opening weekend markets can move around review embargoes, previews, theater count, international openings, and comparable title performance.

Prefer source-backed updates

ScreenOdds should publish news automatically only when official, trade, or box office source confidence is high; rumors stay drafts.

News

Latest box office news

All news

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